Are there enough materials for terawatt-scale perovskite PV?
Lukas Wagner a, Jiajia Suo b, Bowen Yang b, Dmitry Bogachuk c, Estelle Gervais c, Wilfried Lövenich d, Andrea Gassmann e, Jan Christoph Goldschmidt a
a Solar Energy Conversion Group, Department of Physics, University Marburg, Germany
b Department of Chemistry, Ångström Laboratory, Uppsala University, Sweden
c Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, Germany, Heidenhofstraße, 2, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany
d Heraeus Deutschland GmbH&CoKG, Electronic Chemicals, Germany
e Fraunhofer Research Institution for Materials Recycling and Resource Strategies IWKS, Germany
International Conference on Hybrid and Organic Photovoltaics
Proceedings of International Conference on Hybrid and Organic Photovoltaics (HOPV23)
London, United Kingdom, 2023 June 12th - 14th
Organizers: Tracey Clarke, James Durrant and Trystan Watson
Oral, Lukas Wagner, presentation 127
DOI: https://doi.org/10.29363/nanoge.hopv.2023.127
Publication date: 30th March 2023

The photovoltaics (PV) industry is about to enter the terawatt (TW) scale, which is an essential milestone to climate change mitigation. Industry roadmaps predict that this will be accomplished by tandem technologies, likely based on perovskites. Perovskite solar cells (PSC) are often referred to as manufacturable by “abundant materials”. In this contribution, we present a comprehensive quantitative assessment of this statement with the perspective of TW scale perovskite PV. We compare the projected demand of inorganic and synthetic materials to current production (mining and synthesis) and assess the scalability of current material production, in order to identify potential supply risks. For researchers who want to make a contribution to climate change mitigation with their research in sustainable and scalable perovskite PV, the results of this study provide useful selection criteria for materials and designs.

We find that, despite annual material demands in the kilo-ton range, for most materials the supply will likely not become critical. However, indium commonly used in TCOs must urgently be replaced. Cesium used as A-side cation, especially in fully inorganic perovskite, is not sufficiently available for TW-scalable technologies. For several synthetic hole transport materials like spiro-OMeTAD or PTAA, fundamental research yielding scalable synthesis is necessary if they should be implemented in large scale perovskite PV. Other synthetic materials like fullerenes or self-assembled monolayers require roadmaps for industrially scalable synthesis. Solvent supply is found to be not critical. Finally, the foreseeable massive material waste streams mandate that researchers adapt a design-for-recycling thinking already in early stages of technology development.

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